This website predicts how you are likely to die


A website claims it can predict how you are likely to die.

The website includes an interactive chart that takes your age, race and sex in order to try and predict when you are most likely to die from a variety of different conditions and ailments such as cancer, infections or respiratory issues.

The website, called Flowing Data, is the creation of UCLA statistician Nathan Yau and uses a moving graphic to calculate the things that are most likely to lead to your death.

Writing on his website, Professor Yau explains how the test works: “Each dot represents one of your simulated lives, and as each year passes, more of your simulated selves pass away. Color corresponds to cause of death, and the bars on the right keep track of the cumulative percentages. By the end, you’re left with the chances that you will die of each cause.”

Flowing Data


The test shows that the older a person gets, the more likely they are to die from disease, which perhaps is not that surprising, but which is exactly the point of the chart, says Professor Yau.

“The main point, which is what you’d expect, is that mortality rate is much lower in the earlier years of life than in the older years.  

“But, if you do die at a younger age, it’s much more likely due to something external rather than a disease.”

He adds: “You can also look at it the other way. Shift age to the older years, and let the simulations run. You’re much more likely to die of a disease rather than something external. Shift past 80 years, and it’s over 40 percent chance the cause will be circulatory, regardless of demographic group.”

Take the test for yourself here.


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